Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Pic...

This show delivers daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days.


Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:

2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets

2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals

2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners 

2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders 

2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets

2024 NCAA College Basketball - 54%, up 22.18 units (up 58 units total w/blog plays)

2024 NBA Prop Bets - 57.2%, up 33.93 units

2024 NFL Football - 61.6% on prop bets, up 19.3381 units

2025 NCAA College Basketball - 55.2%, up 38.4934 units

Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)


Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together. 


Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor. I flat bet risking 1 unit vs. winning 1 unit. 


Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms. 


Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it. 


Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams. 


Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.

Basketball
Football
Baseball
576
NBA Prop Bets for Monday (3 Over, 3 Under, 1 Be...
9 min
577
It's Tournament Time! 4 College Basketball Bets...
10 min
578
4 College Basketball Bets (Missouri Valley, Sum...
10 min
579
7 College Basketball Bets (A-10, CAA, Mountain ...
14 min
580
Special Edition: Educational/Soapbox Sports Bet...
10 min
581
4 College Basketball Bets (MAAC, Atlantic 10, A...
10 min
582
NBA Prop Bets for Thursday (3 Over, 3 Under, 1 ...
9 min
583
That's a winner! 4 College Basketball Bets (Pac...
8 min
584
NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday (3 Over, 3 Under, 1...
10 min
585
KotaCapperKyle with 4 Basketball Bets for Wedne...
12 min
586
Onions! NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday (3 Over, 3 Un...
9 min
587
That's a winner! 4 College Basketball Bets (Atl...
11 min
588
4 College Basketball Bets (Big 12, CAA, SWAC, M...
10 min
589
5 College Basketball Bets (Horizon, MAAC, Misso...
9 min
590
9 College Basketball Bets (Summit, Atlantic 10,...
16 min
591
Onions! NBA Prop Bets for Friday (3 Over, 3 Und...
9 min
592
That's a winner! 6-1 in CBB on Thursday. Shout-...
11 min
593
NBA Prop Bets for Thursday (3 Over, 3 Under, 1 ...
9 min
594
7 College Basketball Bets (America East, CAA, A...
12 min
595
That's a winner! KotaCapperKyle with 4 College ...
9 min
596
Meltdown, new day. 4 College Basketball Bets (M...
11 min
597
Shout-Outs: LegionRebel88 & Lkusmc, 4 College B...
10 min
598
That's a winner! Trivia Question, 6 College Bas...
11 min
599
That's a winner! 7 College Basketball Bets (Big...
13 min
600
Onions! Celebrating NBA Prop Bet Success - 11 S...
10 min