Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Pic...

This show delivers daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days.


Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:

2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets

2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals

2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners 

2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders 

2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets

2024 NCAA College Basketball - 54%, up 22.18 units (up 58 units total w/blog plays)

2024 NBA Prop Bets - 57.2%, up 33.93 units

2024 NFL Football - 61.6% on prop bets, up 19.3381 units

2025 NCAA College Basketball - 55.2%, up 38.4934 units

Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)


Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together. 


Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor. I flat bet risking 1 unit vs. winning 1 unit. 


Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms. 


Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it. 


Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams. 


Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.

Basketball
Football
Baseball
1
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2
My OKC meltdown, new day today. Stanley Cup Gam...
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3
Play Us or Fade Us Friday with Dan, Chad, and K...
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4
Action is back with 2 NHL Bets, 1 CFL Bet, 2 US...
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5
@KotaCapperKyle hosts the show with 1 NBA Bet, ...
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6
That's a winner! @LWO_sports goes 4-2 on Monday...
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7
That's a winner! @KotaCapperKyle and Action go ...
8 min
8
That's a winner! @KotaCapperKyle hosts the show...
11 min
9
That's a winner! Family Drama: 3 NBA Bets, 1 NH...
19 min
10
Play Us or Fade Us Friday with Dan, Chad, and L...
15 min
11
Action is back with NHL, NBA, WNBA, CFL, French...
16 min
12
That's a winner! @KotaCapperKyle hosts the show...
12 min
13
Tuesday with @JuiceManPace. WNBA, NHL, and NBA ...
10 min
14
NBA Finals Bet, Stanley Cup Bet, 3 MLB Series W...
14 min
15
5-3 in MLB on Saturday. 7 MLB Bets for Sunday w...
13 min
16
That's a winner! 1 WNBA Bet, 1 NBA Bet, 1 PGA B...
15 min
17
That's a winner! Action goes 3-0 in the WNBA/NB...
14 min
18
That's a winner! @KotaCapperKyle goes 4-1. Acti...
16 min
19
@KotaCapperKyle hosts the show with 1 NBA Bet, ...
13 min
20
New day today. Tuesday with @JuiceManPace. NHL ...
15 min
21
That's a winner! Knicks & KAT bailed me out. 1 ...
12 min
22
Wolves win, Athletics lose. 1 NHL Bet, 2 NBA Be...
14 min
23
May belongs to Dan, 3-0 on Friday. Action is ba...
11 min
24
That's a winner! Action goes 5-3, felt like 0-8...
15 min
25
Action likes the card today. 3 NBA Bets, 1 NHL ...
15 min