Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Pic...

This show delivers FREE daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days.


Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:

2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets

2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals

2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners 

2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders 

2023 College Football - Kota Capper College Football Central Lock, Underdog, and Unit Champ

2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets

2024 NCAA College Basketball - 54%, up 22.18 units (up 58 units total w/blog plays)

Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)


Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together. 


Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor. I flat bet risking 1 unit vs. winning 1 unit. 


Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms. 


Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it. 


Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams. 


Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.

Baseball
Football
Basketball
1
That's a winner! 4-0 in MLB. NBA, NHL, UFL, WNB...
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2
That's a winner! NBA Playoff Bet, 2 NHL Playoff...
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3
NBA Playoff Bet - Wolves WILL Win, 2 NHL Playof...
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4
What happened to the Wolves? @KotaCapperKyle ho...
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2 NBA Playoff Bets, 2 NHL Playoff Bets, 4 MLB B...
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6
That's a winner! 2 NBA Playoff Bets, 2 NHL Play...
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7
That's a winner. 4-0 in MLB, finally. Happy Mot...
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8
2 NBA Playoff Bets, 2 NHL Playoff Bets, UFL Sho...
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9
Can you hear me now? A day to forget. 2 NBA Pla...
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10
Day Off = 14 Bets on Thursday. I want ACTION! 2...
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11
@KotaCapperKyle hosts the show. NHL Moneyline B...
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12
That's a winner! 2 NBA Playoff Bets, 5 MLB Base...
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13
2 NBA Playoff Bets, 4 MLB Baseball Bets (Run Li...
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14
NBA Game 7 Bet, 6 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI, Mone...
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15
That's a winner! Happy Derby Day! 1 NBA Playoff...
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16
2 NBA Playoff Bets, 5 MLB Baseball Bets (Over, ...
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17
Special Edition: Amazing Kentucky Derby Preview...
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18
That's a winner! @KotaCapperKyle goes 3-1, News...
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19
That's a winner! @KotaCapperKyle hosts the show...
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20
3 NBA Playoff Bets, 5 MLB Baseball Bets (Over, ...
11 min
21
That's a winner! 3 NBA Playoff Bets, 5 MLB Base...
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22
Not fun. Some days are bad, that was terrible. ...
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23
Podcast + Prop Bet Newsletter Combo Show: 4 NBA...
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24
Winning streak ends at 5. 3 NBA Playoff Bets, 6...
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25
Special Edition: Educational/Soapbox Sports Bet...
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