Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Pic...

This show delivers daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days.


Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:

2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets

2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals

2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners 

2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders 

2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets

2024 NCAA College Basketball - 54%, up 22.18 units (up 58 units total w/blog plays)

2024 NBA Prop Bets - 57.2%, up 33.93 units

2024 NFL Football - 61.6% on prop bets, up 19.3381 units

2025 NCAA College Basketball - 55.2%, up 38.4934 units

Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)


Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together. 


Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor. I flat bet risking 1 unit vs. winning 1 unit. 


Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms. 


Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it. 


Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams. 


Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.

Basketball
Football
Baseball
26
That's a winner! Rory & Hoge saved me. 3 MLB Se...
15 min
27
6 Masters Final Round Bets (Thomas, Niemann, Ki...
14 min
28
Action is back with 5 Masters Bets (Hoge x 2, R...
15 min
29
Can they do it again? Up over 13 units last wee...
15 min
30
Thursday Early Edition: Action is back with 5 B...
9 min
31
That's a winner! @KotaCapperKyle hosts the show...
10 min
32
That's a winner! 4-1 in MLB, heartbreak in Hoop...
12 min
33
New day, new week. College Basketball National ...
11 min
34
That's a winner! I heart Houston. WNCAA Champio...
14 min
35
That's a winner! 2 Final Four Bets, 1 Crown Bet...
15 min
36
That's a winner! Debut Show: Play Us or Fade Us...
15 min
37
Action is back. 2 College Basketball Bets (Side...
12 min
38
@KotaCapperKyle is back! 2 College Basketball T...
10 min
39
That's a winner! 8-3-1 card on Monday. Tuesdays...
18 min
40
New day today. 1 College Basketball Crown Bet, ...
14 min
41
That's a winner! 2 College Basketball Elite 8 B...
13 min
42
That's a winner! Positive spike day: 10-2 card ...
14 min
43
11-10 card, profitable Opening Day. 4 Sweet 16 ...
15 min
44
That's a winner! 4 Sweet 16 College Basketball ...
18 min
45
Special Edition: Major League Baseball preview ...
20 min
46
Winning streak is over. Jim Valvano day: laugh,...
12 min
47
That's a winner! 1 NBA Bet (Sacramento), 2 NHL ...
9 min
48
That's a winner! 1 CBI Bet, 2 WNCAA Bets, Podca...
14 min
49
That's a winner! 4-1-1 day in College Basketbal...
12 min
50
That's a winner! 5-2 in College Basketball. 1 N...
14 min