Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Pic...

This show delivers daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days.


Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:

2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets

2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals

2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners 

2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders 

2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets

2024 NCAA College Basketball - 54%, up 22.18 units (up 58 units total w/blog plays)

2024 NBA Prop Bets - 57.2%, up 33.93 units

2024 NFL Football - 61.6% on prop bets, up 19.3381 units

2025 NCAA College Basketball - 55.2%, up 38.4934 units

Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)


Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together. 


Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor. I flat bet risking 1 unit vs. winning 1 unit. 


Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms. 


Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it. 


Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams. 


Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.

Basketball
Football
Baseball
551
Winning Streak Ends @ 9 Days. 5 College Basketb...
10 min
552
That's a winner! 28-16 ATS so far in the NCAA T...
14 min
553
That's a winner! 23-13 ATS so far in the NCAA T...
13 min
554
That's a winner! ATS pick for ALL 32 NCAA Thurs...
18 min
555
That's a winner! @KotaCapperKyle's 9 NCAA Best ...
13 min
556
4 NIT Bets for Tuesday/Wednesday, 3 MLB Bets fo...
16 min
557
That's a winner! 11 Bets for the NCAA Tournamen...
13 min
558
That's a winner! I want more games. 5 College B...
13 min
559
That's a winner! 12 College Basketball Bets inc...
12 min
560
That's a winner! 13 College Basketball Bets inc...
12 min
561
That's a winner! 20 College Basketball Bets for...
16 min
562
4 College Basketball Picks from @KotaCapperKyle...
16 min
563
Onions! NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday (2 Over, 2 Un...
10 min
564
That's a winner! Shout-Outs: VPGSWP & USE. 11 C...
13 min
565
That's a winner! 6 College Basketball Bets (Sum...
13 min
566
That's a winner! 8 College Basketball Bets (Big...
14 min
567
That's a winner! Perfect 4-0 day in CBB. 12 Col...
14 min
568
Onions! NBA Prop Bets for Friday (3 Over, 3 Und...
9 min
569
That's a winner! 4 College Basketball Bets (Mis...
10 min
570
Onions! NBA Prop Bets for Thursday (3 Over, 3 U...
10 min
571
7 College Basketball Bets (MAAC, Pac 12, Patrio...
9 min
572
Onions! NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday (3 Over, 3 ...
11 min
573
That's a winner! KotaCapperKyle with 4 College ...
11 min
574
Onions! NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday (3 Over, 3 Un...
9 min
575
4 College Basketball Bets (Patriot, Mountain We...
11 min