Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Pic...

This show delivers daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days.


Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:

2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets

2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals

2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners 

2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders 

2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets

2024 NCAA College Basketball - 54%, up 22.18 units (up 58 units total w/blog plays)

2024 NBA Prop Bets - 57.2%, up 33.93 units

2024 NFL Football - 61.6% on prop bets, up 19.3381 units

2025 NCAA College Basketball - 55.2%, up 38.4934 units

Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)


Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together. 


Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor. I flat bet risking 1 unit vs. winning 1 unit. 


Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms. 


Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it. 


Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams. 


Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.

Basketball
Football
Baseball
526
That's a winner! 4 NBA Bets, 5 MLB Bets (Run Li...
11 min
527
4 NBA Round 1 Playoff Bets, 7 MLB Bets (NRFI x ...
10 min
528
That's a winner! 2 NBA Play-In Bets, MLB OPS Sp...
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529
6 Major League Baseball Bets (First 5 Run Line,...
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530
That's a winner! @KotaCapperKyle gives 4 MLB Be...
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531
The Struggle is Real in MLB, 2 NBA Play-In Bets...
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Slump? Yes Yogi, this is a slump. 7 MLB Bets (N...
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7 Masters Final Round Matchup Bets, 7 MLB Baseb...
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New day today! 2 Masters Round 3 Matchups for M...
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That's a winner! Thank you, John Patrick (JP) S...
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That's a winner! 4 Masters Top 20 Bets, 5 MLB B...
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537
@KotaCapperKyle gives 4 MLB Bets (2 Moneyline U...
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538
Final College Basketball Podcast Results: 383-3...
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539
That's a winner! 3-0 day, +3.3591 units. UConn/...
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540
I finally cashed a ticket on UConn. NCAA Women'...
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541
Trilled to finish 4-5 on the day. Final Four Pi...
11 min
542
That's a winner! WNCAA Final Four Bets, 7 MLB B...
10 min
543
That's a winner! Up 8.6215 units on MLB YTD. @K...
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544
2 NIT Semifinal Bets, 5 MLB Bets (3 ML's fading...
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545
Happy April Fools' Day! 6 MLB Bets (ML x 2, Fir...
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546
All 4 Elite 8 College Basketball Bets, 6 MLB Ba...
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That's a winner! 4 NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Bet...
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Happy Opening Day! 4 NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 B...
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@KotaCapperKyle's College Basketball Picks for ...
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4 College Basketball Bets for Tuesday (2 NIT/2 ...
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