Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Pic...

This show delivers daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days.


Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:

2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets

2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals

2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners 

2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders 

2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets

2024 NCAA College Basketball - 54%, up 22.18 units (up 58 units total w/blog plays)

2024 NBA Prop Bets - 57.2%, up 33.93 units

2024 NFL Football - 61.6% on prop bets, up 19.3381 units

Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)


Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together. 


Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor. I flat bet risking 1 unit vs. winning 1 unit. 


Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms. 


Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it. 


Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams. 


Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.

Basketball
Football
Baseball
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MLB Baseball ONLY Day (NRFI x 2, First 5 Run Li...
10 min
402
That's a winner! Much needed spike day, 7-0 on ...
14 min
403
Time to win. NHL Game 7 Bet, College World Seri...
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3 WNBA Bets, College Baseball Bet, PGA Tour Top...
12 min
405
Negative spike day, not fun. New day today. Col...
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406
That's a winner! NHL Game 6 Bet, 2 WNBA Bets, 2...
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407
NHL Game 6 Bet, WNBA Early Tip Bet, PGA 4 RD1 M...
11 min
408
That's a winner! Congrats to Steve F - US Open ...
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NBA Finals Game 5 Bet, WNBA Bet, College Baseba...
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410
Special Edition: College Football Heisman & Fut...
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That's a winner! NHL Game 4 Bet, US Open RD3 Be...
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412
Good: 5-1 day in MLB. Bad: 1-5 on everything el...
15 min
413
That's a winner! NHL Game 3 Bet, 2 WNBA Bets, 3...
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414
That's a winner! Action will NOT bet another Ya...
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415
That's a winner! 2 WNBA Bets, 9 MLB Baseball Be...
15 min
416
New day, new week, let's go. NHL Game 2 Bet, WN...
11 min
417
NBA Finals G2 Bet, UFL Bet, 2 PGA Round 4 Match...
13 min
418
Negative spike day. Up and down. @KotaCapperKyl...
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That's a winner! Positive spike day, 8-2 card. ...
17 min
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That's a winner! NBA Finals Game 1 Bet, WNBA Be...
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That's a winner! Positive spike day, 7-2 card. ...
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422
Right handicap, wrong result. 2 WNBA Bets, 7 ML...
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423
That's a winner! Marathon not a sprint. Terribl...
13 min
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New day. 7 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 2, F5 Tota...
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Let's win today. NHL Playoff Bet, 2 UFL Bets, W...
13 min