Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Pic...

This show delivers daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days.


Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:

2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets

2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals

2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners 

2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders 

2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets

2024 NCAA College Basketball - 54%, up 22.18 units (up 58 units total w/blog plays)

2024 NBA Prop Bets - 57.2%, up 33.93 units

2024 NFL Football - 61.6% on prop bets, up 19.3381 units

Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)


Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together. 


Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor. I flat bet risking 1 unit vs. winning 1 unit. 


Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms. 


Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it. 


Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams. 


Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.

Basketball
Football
Baseball
351
That's a winner! 3 straight 4-1 days, lone lose...
12 min
352
That's a winner! 3-0 day in baseball, Olympics ...
9 min
353
That's a winner! 4-1 day, lone loser.....NRFI! ...
9 min
354
Olympic Men's Basketball Gold Medal Bet, NFL Pr...
9 min
355
That's a winner! Olympic Women's Basketball Bet...
10 min
356
Special Edition: 15 picks from our Community Be...
17 min
357
Fool me twice, shame on me. Stephen Curry Team ...
13 min
358
New day today. @KotaCapperKyle hosts the show w...
14 min
359
Special Edition: Social Betting Marketplace Upd...
28 min
360
That's a winner! Team USA Stephen Curry prop be...
11 min
361
5 MLB Baseball Bets (Record a win prop, First 5...
9 min
362
That's a winner! Team USA Olympic Prop Bet, CFL...
11 min
363
New day today. CFL Bet, Anthony Edwards Olympic...
13 min
364
That's a winner! CFL Bet, 7 MLB Baseball Bets (...
11 min
365
That's a winner! @KotaCapperKyle can't be stopp...
10 min
366
@KotaCapperKyle hosts the show with 5 wagers fo...
13 min
367
Special Edition: 18 picks from our Community Be...
16 min
368
That's a winner! I cashed a White Sox ticket, a...
13 min
369
That's a winner! 0-3 on NRFI's, 5-0 on everythi...
12 min
370
Time to win. Olympic Basketball Bet, 3M Open Be...
10 min
371
Can I get a mulligan? Negative spike day. 3M Op...
10 min
372
4-3-1 on Thursday. Prediction: After an upside ...
14 min
373
I need football! Roughriders at Alouettes CFL B...
11 min
374
New day today. @KotaCapperKyle hosts the show. ...
11 min
375
Special Edition: 19 picks from our Community Be...
16 min