Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Pic...

This show delivers daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days.


Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:

2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets

2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals

2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners 

2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders 

2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets

2024 NCAA College Basketball - 54%, up 22.18 units (up 58 units total w/blog plays)

2024 NBA Prop Bets - 57.2%, up 33.93 units

2024 NFL Football - 61.6% on prop bets, up 19.3381 units

2025 NCAA College Basketball - 55.2%, up 38.4934 units

Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)


Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together. 


Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor. I flat bet risking 1 unit vs. winning 1 unit. 


Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms. 


Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it. 


Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams. 


Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.

Basketball
Football
Baseball
701
ICE COLD in CBB, UTSA Covers!!! 5 - not 4 Colle...
13 min
702
Let's do this! Frisco Bowl Bet, 4 College Baske...
11 min
703
Pity Party/Meltdown, Famous Toastery Bowl Bet, ...
11 min
704
Winning Streak Over: 3 Days. Lost 0.18U on Satu...
19 min
705
That's a winner! Rare 2-Unit Play Today, 7 Stra...
21 min
706
Pick 4 Jackpot: $150 currently, 4 picks from Gu...
17 min
707
That's a winner! Ugly W. FCS Semifinal Bet, 4 C...
12 min
708
That's a winner! 100 College Basketball Wins YT...
13 min
709
Levels of losing, 4 College Basketball Bets, 1 ...
11 min
710
Winning Streak Over: 5 days, +13.03 units, 4 Co...
10 min
711
That's a winner! Survive & Advance Day. 7 NFL B...
13 min
712
That's a winner! 9-4 day on Saturday. 3 NFL Sid...
17 min
713
That's a winner! 7-1 on Friday. Army vs. Navy B...
13 min
714
That's a winner! Luck is on my side with NFL Pr...
11 min
715
That's a winner! Patriots @ Steelers - 5 Bets, ...
15 min
716
Sports Betting Picks (4 College Basketball Bets...
11 min
717
That's a winner! 10-2 day on Monday. 4 College ...
10 min
718
Winning Streak Over: 6 days, +16 units. 4 Colle...
11 min
719
That's a winner! 4 College Basketball Bets, 9 N...
15 min
720
That's a winner! 8 College Football Championshi...
14 min
721
That's a winner! Pac 12 & Conference USA Champi...
10 min
722
That's a winner! Seahawks @ Cowboys - 5 Bets, 4...
12 min
723
That's a winner! 4 College Basketball Bets, My ...
11 min
724
That's a winner! 4 College Basketball Best Bets...
8 min
725
Sports Betting Picks for Monday (Bears @ Viking...
10 min